Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 239.585900 270.397079 304.764610 346.146083 394.892457 450.822038 520.327900
2024-10-06 193.197862 233.304437 282.118771 346.719585 431.205288 539.716757 692.600792
2024-10-13 163.455196 205.900086 260.499483 337.370228 445.290001 595.365687 827.296394
2024-10-20 145.328761 189.284637 248.387526 335.925695 466.364407 660.661640 986.877698
2024-10-27 127.031722 169.610202 228.793234 319.909144 462.130162 685.927065 1088.192009
2024-11-03 120.502817 165.204440 229.594730 333.008531 502.986282 787.708248 1342.110462
2024-11-10 115.868429 162.788999 232.664510 349.484506 551.350273 911.105268 1671.429059
2024-11-17 108.082705 154.768560 226.131377 349.303884 570.932269 986.654473 1928.737251
2024-11-24 99.335229 144.415355 214.778229 339.404329 571.228265 1025.109218 2117.141321
2024-12-01 91.952942 135.544714 204.900323 330.718127 572.168998 1064.592764 2320.605103
2024-12-08 88.835624 133.176505 205.399883 340.363676 609.704663 1188.425453 2782.129561
2024-12-15 84.618011 128.641139 201.765321 341.873379 630.998049 1281.113371 3198.732950
2024-12-22 79.526132 122.396514 194.848656 336.799810 638.712040 1346.491064 3573.726376
2024-12-29 75.780188 118.160508 191.114993 337.514454 659.278950 1449.169665 4124.179325
2025-01-05 70.993327 111.783097 182.979457 328.472207 656.404748 1490.885844 4487.882847
2025-01-12 67.698825 107.775010 178.830694 327.075769 671.048543 1583.872506 5101.262853
2025-01-19 62.844757 100.703932 168.459116 311.587438 649.575127 1569.914056 5276.309267
2025-01-26 61.922775 100.594452 171.176436 324.255304 699.591667 1780.456510 6584.400310
2025-02-02 61.389631 101.137311 175.165706 340.182271 761.184162 2049.077738 8444.295854
2025-02-09 59.078432 98.238801 172.162170 340.007706 779.956080 2183.415677 9731.162475
2025-02-16 55.943961 93.617946 165.393155 330.438799 771.234895 2219.458103 10469.644830
2025-02-23 53.149768 89.494190 159.363228 322.040673 764.657987 2262.447250 11313.613780
2025-03-02 52.284587 88.996617 160.698822 331.366212 811.390167 2525.174002 14092.625363